Marco Rubio leads the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nominee market due to his role as Secretary of State and positioning as a potential running mate for frontrunner J.D. Vance in presidential speculation. Recent comments from President Trump highlighting a possible Vance-Rubio ticket have reinforced this consensus among traders. Nikki Haley draws support from establishment and foreign-policy voters, while Thomas Massie appeals to libertarian-leaning factions. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene or Rand Paul reflect narrower bases within the party. Key differentiators include Senate tenure, executive-branch experience, and alignment on trade, immigration, and national security priorities. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely hinge on the identity of the presidential nominee and any late-cycle endorsements or primary results that narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 18.4%
Thomas Massie 11.0%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,243 Vol.
$33,243 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
18%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio 30%
Nikki Haley 18.4%
Thomas Massie 11.0%
J.D. Vance 8%
$33,243 Vol.
$33,243 Vol.
Donald Trump
3%
J.D. Vance
8%
Marco Rubio
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
4%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Ron DeSantis
2%
Nikki Haley
18%
Vivek Ramaswamy
4%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
3%
Greg Abbott
2%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
3%
Brian Kemp
5%
Byron Donalds
2%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
4%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
2%
Matt Gaetz
3%
Katie Britt
3%
John Thune
1%
Kristi Noem
<1%
Mike Pence
1%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ivanka Trump
5%
Tom Brady
3%
Rand Paul
5%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
5%
Thomas Massie
11%
Eric Trump
1%
Joe Kent
3%
Pete Hegseth
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Marco Rubio leads the 2028 Republican vice-presidential nominee market due to his role as Secretary of State and positioning as a potential running mate for frontrunner J.D. Vance in presidential speculation. Recent comments from President Trump highlighting a possible Vance-Rubio ticket have reinforced this consensus among traders. Nikki Haley draws support from establishment and foreign-policy voters, while Thomas Massie appeals to libertarian-leaning factions. Lower probabilities for figures such as Marjorie Taylor Greene or Rand Paul reflect narrower bases within the party. Key differentiators include Senate tenure, executive-branch experience, and alignment on trade, immigration, and national security priorities. Consolidation behind one outcome would likely hinge on the identity of the presidential nominee and any late-cycle endorsements or primary results that narrow the field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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