Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European centers point to a modest high near 15°C on October 1, driven by a strengthening southerly flow behind a cold front and extensive low-to-mid cloud cover that limits solar heating. Southerly winds of 5–7 m/s, combined with dew points in the 6–8°C range and light showers or drizzle in the morning, further cap afternoon warming. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 14–16°C, with minor spreads arising from exact cloud-clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing; historical October averages near 19°C highlight the anomalous cool advection in place. Updated model runs and surface observations through the morning will refine the final maximum.
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