Recent National Weather Service guidance, including a Heat Advisory for August 2, has anchored trader focus on upper-90s to low-100s readings amid sunny conditions and downslope warming along the Front Range. Model consensus points to highs near 95°F at official stations, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands that separate the tightly matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F contracts. Historical early-August maxima occasionally exceed 100°F when ridging strengthens, while typical climatology favors the mid-80s to low-90s; any late forecast adjustment from NOAA or updated observations could rapidly shift implied probabilities across these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のデンバーの最高気温は?
100〜101°F 41%
102〜103°F 38%
98〜99°F 16%
96〜97°F 4%
91°F以下
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
1%
96〜97°F
4%
98〜99°F
16%
100〜101°F
41%
102〜103°F
38%
104〜105°F
3%
106〜107°F
<1%
108~109°F
<1%
110°F以上
<1%
100〜101°F 41%
102〜103°F 38%
98〜99°F 16%
96〜97°F 4%
91°F以下
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
1%
96〜97°F
4%
98〜99°F
16%
100〜101°F
41%
102〜103°F
38%
104〜105°F
3%
106〜107°F
<1%
108~109°F
<1%
110°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance, including a Heat Advisory for August 2, has anchored trader focus on upper-90s to low-100s readings amid sunny conditions and downslope warming along the Front Range. Model consensus points to highs near 95°F at official stations, yet slight variations in boundary-layer mixing, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects create narrow uncertainty bands that separate the tightly matched 100–101°F and 102–103°F contracts. Historical early-August maxima occasionally exceed 100°F when ridging strengthens, while typical climatology favors the mid-80s to low-90s; any late forecast adjustment from NOAA or updated observations could rapidly shift implied probabilities across these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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