Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on June 21 point to a maximum near 33–35°C amid thundery showers, sustaining the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Persistent southerly monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and strong solar heating typical of late June support afternoon peaks in this range, while scattered convection and variable cloud cover introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Official guidance from agencies highlights model consensus on instability limiting extreme highs, yet any delay in thunderstorm development or localized clearing could push readings toward 36°C or higher. Historical mid-June averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 21?
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
17%
35°C
32%
36°C
29%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 32%
36°C 29%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
17%
35°C
32%
36°C
29%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Guangzhou on June 21 point to a maximum near 33–35°C amid thundery showers, sustaining the tight market spread between 34°C and 36°C outcomes. Persistent southerly monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and strong solar heating typical of late June support afternoon peaks in this range, while scattered convection and variable cloud cover introduce 1–2°C uncertainty that traders weigh heavily. Official guidance from agencies highlights model consensus on instability limiting extreme highs, yet any delay in thunderstorm development or localized clearing could push readings toward 36°C or higher. Historical mid-June averages near 32–33°C provide baseline context, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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