**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 19?
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C
14%
36°C
43%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 34%
35°C 14%
38°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/06/19
33°C or below
$530 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,691 Vol.
7%
35°C
$1,150 Vol.
14%
36°C
$1,333 Vol.
43%
37°C
$720 Vol.
34%
38°C
$1,159 Vol.
8%
39°C
$478 Vol.
1%
40°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET
音量
$8,024終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,024終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 3:17 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Madrid’s June 19 daily maximum temperature centers on official AEMET guidance showing a 36 °C high, with secondary support for 37 °C.** A broad high-pressure ridge over the Iberian Peninsula has produced subsidence warming, clear skies, and light easterly flow, driving daytime temperatures 5–7 °C above the 1991–2020 June average. Ensemble forecasts place the most likely outcome near 36–37 °C at Retiro station, with small differences arising from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and exact shortwave radiative forcing. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow band after earlier spread, keeping the 36 °C and 37 °C contracts closely matched while limiting odds for 38 °C or higher. No significant Atlantic front or Saharan dust outbreak is expected to alter the thermal profile before the 19th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問