A strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over Texas is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 94–95 °F high (38 %) over the 92–93 °F bin (29 %) for Houston on July 1. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places the most likely maximum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 93 °F, with partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent model runs show little cooling from sea-breeze or convective activity, keeping the upper end of the 90–96 °F July envelope in play. Traders are pricing the modest warm-side bias against climatology while noting that any late adjustment in steering flow or moisture could still shift the outcome within the tightly bunched central bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on July 1?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 1?
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/07/01
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
39%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 12%
新規
新規
2026/07/01
83°F or below
$350 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$167 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$86 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$9 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$15 Vol.
32%
94-95°F
$152 Vol.
39%
96-97°F
$133 Vol.
12%
98-99°F
$21 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$20 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$82 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over Texas is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 94–95 °F high (38 %) over the 92–93 °F bin (29 %) for Houston on July 1. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places the most likely maximum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 93 °F, with partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent model runs show little cooling from sea-breeze or convective activity, keeping the upper end of the 90–96 °F July envelope in play. Traders are pricing the modest warm-side bias against climatology while noting that any late adjustment in steering flow or moisture could still shift the outcome within the tightly bunched central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$1,065終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over Texas is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 94–95 °F high (38 %) over the 92–93 °F bin (29 %) for Houston on July 1. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places the most likely maximum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 93 °F, with partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent model runs show little cooling from sea-breeze or convective activity, keeping the upper end of the 90–96 °F July envelope in play. Traders are pricing the modest warm-side bias against climatology while noting that any late adjustment in steering flow or moisture could still shift the outcome within the tightly bunched central bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,065終了日
2026/07/01マーケット開始日
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ETA strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over Texas is the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a 94–95 °F high (38 %) over the 92–93 °F bin (29 %) for Houston on July 1. Official guidance from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather places the most likely maximum near or slightly above the 1991–2020 normal of 93 °F, with partly to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent model runs show little cooling from sea-breeze or convective activity, keeping the upper end of the 90–96 °F July envelope in play. Traders are pricing the modest warm-side bias against climatology while noting that any late adjustment in steering flow or moisture could still shift the outcome within the tightly bunched central bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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