Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on July 1?
36°C 35%
35°C 26%
37°C 21%
34°C 16%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
26%
36°C
35%
37°C
21%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
36°C 35%
35°C 26%
37°C 21%
34°C 16%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
16%
35°C
26%
36°C
35%
37°C
21%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent long-range forecasts from sources like the Old Farmer's Almanac and seasonal outlooks point to hot conditions across southern Ontario for July 1, with a few thunderstorms possible amid building heat, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Primary drivers include a transitioning atmospheric pattern favoring high pressure and southerly flow, though Great Lakes influences and potential lake breezes could moderate Toronto readings. Model spreads arise from uncertainties in storm timing, cloud cover, and exact peak intensity, with historical July maxima near 30–32°C providing baseline context. Traders weigh these variables against official Environment Canada guidance ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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