Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on July 2?
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 11%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 39%
90-91°F 34%
88-89°F 14%
94-95°F 11%
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and major ensembles project a July 2 high near 92°F in Houston under a subtropical ridge, with ample low-level moisture supporting scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the low 90s. Normal climatology for the date centers on 94°F, yet recent guidance shows modest suppression from increased cloud cover and sea-breeze effects, keeping the 90–93°F range favored by traders. Model spread remains narrow but hinges on exact timing and coverage of showers, producing the tight clustering between the two leading bins and modest probabilities for outcomes above 94°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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