A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月20日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
7月20日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
96〜97°F 39%
98〜99°F 27%
94～95°F 22%
92〜93°F 8%
新規
$12,137 Vol.
新規
$12,137 Vol.
2026/07/20
83°F以下
<1%
84～85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90～91°F
1%
92〜93°F
8%
94～95°F
22%
96〜97°F
39%
98〜99°F
27%
100〜101°F
7%
102°F以上
1%
96〜97°F 39%
98〜99°F 27%
94～95°F 22%
92〜93°F 8%
新規
$12,137 Vol.
新規
$12,137 Vol.
2026/07/20
83°F以下
$403 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
86〜87°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
88〜89°F
$333 Vol.
<1%
90～91°F
$1,822 Vol.
1%
92〜93°F
$1,064 Vol.
8%
94～95°F
$4,189 Vol.
22%
96〜97°F
$962 Vol.
39%
98〜99°F
$1,194 Vol.
27%
100〜101°F
$764 Vol.
7%
102°F以上
$795 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
音量
$12,137終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$12,137終了日
2026/07/20マーケット開始日
Jul 18, 2026, 9:04 PM ETA strengthening heat dome and upper-level ridge over Texas are driving the market's 54.5% implied probability on a 96-97°F high for Houston on July 20. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance place the expected maximum in the mid- to upper 90s under mostly sunny skies, consistent with July climatology at Bush Intercontinental where the normal high is 95°F. Limited moisture and light winds should allow full daytime heating without significant cloud cover or seabreeze moderation, while overnight lows near 76-78°F maintain elevated heat indices. Short-term model consensus shows little day-to-day variability through the period, keeping the 94-99°F range dominant in trader pricing ahead of the final NWS forecast update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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