Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月26日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
92〜93°F 99.8%
96〜97°F <1%
94〜95°F <1%
81°F以下 <1%
$35,500 Vol.
$35,500 Vol.
81°F以下
<1%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
100%
94〜95°F
<1%
96〜97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
92〜93°F 99.8%
96〜97°F <1%
94〜95°F <1%
81°F以下 <1%
$35,500 Vol.
$35,500 Vol.
81°F以下
<1%
82~83°F
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
100%
94〜95°F
<1%
96〜97°F
<1%
98〜99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Houston’s June 26 high in the low-to-mid 90s under typical early-summer southerly flow and high humidity, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 92–95 °F bins. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by afternoon cloud cover and any weak sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F or allow brief clearing to push readings to 96–97 °F. Saharan dust noted in regional outlooks may slightly suppress insolation, while the absence of organized tropical moisture or frontal boundaries keeps extreme outliers (>98 °F or <88 °F) at low implied probability. Updated NWS forecast discussions and 00Z/12Z model runs tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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