Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Karachi on July 21 near 32–34°C, with traders assigning the bulk of probability across these three outcomes due to lingering uncertainty in monsoon-driven cloud cover and moisture. Coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea and elevated humidity levels typical of July’s southwest monsoon onset often suppress daytime maxima by limiting insolation, while any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 31–33°C, but short-term numerical weather prediction runs show sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns. Fresh updates from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department or revised ensemble outputs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the tight distribution among these leading bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月21日のカラチの最高気温は?
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31℃ 10.5%
28°C以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
46%
34°C
19%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
33°C 46%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31℃ 10.5%
28°C以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31℃
11%
32°C
27%
33°C
46%
34°C
19%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to a highest temperature in Karachi on July 21 near 32–34°C, with traders assigning the bulk of probability across these three outcomes due to lingering uncertainty in monsoon-driven cloud cover and moisture. Coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea and elevated humidity levels typical of July’s southwest monsoon onset often suppress daytime maxima by limiting insolation, while any breaks in cloud or reduced precipitation could allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Historical July averages hover around 31–33°C, but short-term numerical weather prediction runs show sensitivity to exact timing of convective activity and wind patterns. Fresh updates from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department or revised ensemble outputs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the tight distribution among these leading bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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