Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のロンドンの最高気温は?
31°C 34%
30°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 34%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
34%
32°C
15%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance highlights building high pressure and sunny spells across southern England, supporting peak temperatures near 30°C in London on August 3 with limited cloud interference. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact timing of any weak fronts or urban heat-island effects that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August baselines near 22°C and the current warm anomaly of roughly +5–7°C underpin trader focus on these central outcomes, while lower probabilities for 32°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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