Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 21?
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 29%
66-67°F 10%
72-73°F 8%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 29%
66-67°F 10%
72-73°F 8%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 19, 2026, 9:15 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific are the main drivers keeping National Weather Service forecast highs for Los Angeles on June 21 clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tightest probabilities around 68–71°F. Sea-surface temperatures remain near or slightly above average, supporting a deeper marine layer that caps afternoon warming despite seasonal solar input, while weak pressure gradients limit offshore warming from Santa Ana patterns. Model consensus from recent runs shows only modest day-to-day variability, with traders pricing in the typical 2–4°F uncertainty range around official LAX observations. Upcoming NWS updates and any shift in low-level wind forecasts could narrow the 68–73°F band further before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問