Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日のマニラの最高気温は?
32℃ 44%
33℃ 39%
31°C 12%
34°C 8.3%
$16,110 Vol.
$16,110 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
12%
32℃
44%
33℃
39%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36℃以上
<1%
32℃ 44%
33℃ 39%
31°C 12%
34°C 8.3%
$16,110 Vol.
$16,110 Vol.
26°C以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
12%
32℃
44%
33℃
39%
34°C
8%
35°C
1%
36℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus for Manila's June 27 maximum temperature centers on 30–33°C outcomes, reflecting PAGASA forecasts of highs near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon onset. Increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and higher humidity from the habagat typically cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating, consistent with June climatology where averages hover around 31–32°C. Key variables include precipitation timing and intensity—stronger monsoon bursts could suppress readings toward 30°C or below, while clearer intervals allow brief climbs to 33°C. Model runs show divergence on convective activity over the next 48 hours, sustaining the tight spread in market-implied odds across these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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