Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月29日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$41,277 Vol.
$41,277 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
100%
27℃以上
<1%
26℃ 100.0%
17℃以下 <1%
18℃ <1%
19°C <1%
$41,277 Vol.
$41,277 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
100%
27℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 27, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological models project Mexico City’s July 29 maximum in the 24–26 °C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds around those outcomes. Typical mid-summer conditions during the peak of the rainy season feature high humidity, frequent afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar insolation at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Small differences in forecast timing of showers, boundary-layer moisture, or weak upper-level steering patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2 °C, producing the observed tight probability distribution. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance released overnight will provide the next key data points for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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