Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月31日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
33℃ 47%
32°C 28%
34℃ 22%
31°C 4.5%
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
28%
33℃
47%
34℃
22%
35°C
1%
36°C以上
<1%
33℃ 47%
32°C 28%
34℃ 22%
31°C 4.5%
26°C以下
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
28%
33℃
47%
34℃
22%
35°C
1%
36°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see the 32–34°C band as the most probable range for Panama City’s July 31 high because long-range and ensemble guidance points to typical wet-season conditions with variable afternoon convection. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies can push maxima toward 33–34°C, while scattered thunderstorms or thicker cloud cover often caps readings at 32°C or below. Sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a neutral ENSO state provide a stable energy source, yet model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering around these three outcomes. Updated National Meteorological Service of Panama and global model runs expected overnight will refine the balance between insolation and evaporative cooling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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