Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90~91°F 43%
92~93°F 43%
88~89°F 10%
94~95°F 5%
華氏83度以下
<1%
84~85°F
1%
86〜87°F
3%
88~89°F
10%
90~91°F
43%
92~93°F
43%
94~95°F
5%
96~97°F
2%
98〜99°F
1%
100〜101°F
1%
102°F以上
<1%
90~91°F 43%
92~93°F 43%
88~89°F 10%
94~95°F 5%
華氏83度以下
<1%
84~85°F
1%
86〜87°F
3%
88~89°F
10%
90~91°F
43%
92~93°F
43%
94~95°F
5%
96~97°F
2%
98〜99°F
1%
100〜101°F
1%
102°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Miami indicate a high near 91°F on August 2 amid partly to mostly sunny conditions and a 30-40% chance of afternoon thunderstorms. This consensus, aligned with typical early-August climatology featuring average highs of 89-91°F, supports the near-even market split between 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Key differentiating factors include sea-breeze timing, boundary-layer moisture, and convective initiation that can cap peak temperatures by 1-3°F through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread given the short forecast horizon and stable subtropical ridge, though any earlier or stronger storms could favor the lower bin while drier conditions would support the upper. Updated NWS guidance ahead of peak heating remains the primary near-term catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問