Current NWS and private forecast models project a typical mid-summer pattern for Miami on July 24, with daytime highs likely peaking in the low 90s amid high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and a modest sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon thunderstorm development, driven by daytime heating and instability, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F, while delayed or weaker storms would allow readings to reach 92–93 °F. These closely matched leading outcomes reflect traders weighting the narrow spread between model consensus and historical July variability, where official Miami International Airport normals sit near 91 °F and recent days have recorded 91–93 °F under similar conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月24日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90〜91°F 48%
88〜89°F 29%
92〜93°F 20%
94~95°F 2.8%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
1%
84〜85°F
1%
86〜87°F
2%
88〜89°F
29%
90〜91°F
48%
92〜93°F
20%
94~95°F
3%
96~97°F
1%
98°F以上
<1%
90〜91°F 48%
88〜89°F 29%
92〜93°F 20%
94~95°F 2.8%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
<1%
82〜83°F
1%
84〜85°F
1%
86〜87°F
2%
88〜89°F
29%
90〜91°F
48%
92〜93°F
20%
94~95°F
3%
96~97°F
1%
98°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current NWS and private forecast models project a typical mid-summer pattern for Miami on July 24, with daytime highs likely peaking in the low 90s amid high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and a modest sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon thunderstorm development, driven by daytime heating and instability, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F, while delayed or weaker storms would allow readings to reach 92–93 °F. These closely matched leading outcomes reflect traders weighting the narrow spread between model consensus and historical July variability, where official Miami International Airport normals sit near 91 °F and recent days have recorded 91–93 °F under similar conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問