Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月23日のソウルの最高気温は?
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
20%
30°C or higher
6%
28°C 30%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 14%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
29%
28°C
30%
29°C
20%
30°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Cloud cover and scattered rainfall tied to the East Asian summer monsoon are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 25–29°C for Seoul’s July 23 maximum. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlights persistent clouds and showers that limit solar heating, while ensemble models show modest spread in afternoon instability and timing of any breaks. Typical July climatology places mean highs near 30–31°C, but enhanced moisture and reduced insolation this period favor slightly cooler peaks; outcomes above 30°C require clearer skies and stronger subsidence not currently favored in most runs. Traders weigh the latest model updates and observed trends in regional steering patterns ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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