Traders see 30–32°C as the most likely range for Milan’s July 23 high because ensemble models show modest warm-air advection under a lingering subtropical ridge, tempered by partial Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover. Recent stabilization after the late-June heatwave has reduced extreme warming potential, while Po Valley trapping and Milan’s urban heat island add roughly 1–2 °C locally. Small differences among 30, 31, and 32 °C hinge on the exact timing of any weak trough, boundary-layer mixing depth, and afternoon insolation—variables that produce noticeable spread even 48 hours out. With probabilities tightly bunched, fresh model runs and updated observations on July 22 will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月23日のミラノの最高気温は？
7月23日のミラノの最高気温は？
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 18%
29°C or below 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/23
29°C or below
13%
30°C
33%
31°C
40%
32°C
18%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 33%
32°C 18%
29°C or below 13%
新規
新規
2026/07/23
29°C or below
$497 Vol.
13%
30°C
$67 Vol.
33%
31°C
$170 Vol.
40%
32°C
$236 Vol.
18%
33°C
$137 Vol.
4%
34°C
$85 Vol.
1%
35°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$166 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 30–32°C as the most likely range for Milan’s July 23 high because ensemble models show modest warm-air advection under a lingering subtropical ridge, tempered by partial Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover. Recent stabilization after the late-June heatwave has reduced extreme warming potential, while Po Valley trapping and Milan’s urban heat island add roughly 1–2 °C locally. Small differences among 30, 31, and 32 °C hinge on the exact timing of any weak trough, boundary-layer mixing depth, and afternoon insolation—variables that produce noticeable spread even 48 hours out. With probabilities tightly bunched, fresh model runs and updated observations on July 22 will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$2,248終了日
2026/07/23マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 30–32°C as the most likely range for Milan’s July 23 high because ensemble models show modest warm-air advection under a lingering subtropical ridge, tempered by partial Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover. Recent stabilization after the late-June heatwave has reduced extreme warming potential, while Po Valley trapping and Milan’s urban heat island add roughly 1–2 °C locally. Small differences among 30, 31, and 32 °C hinge on the exact timing of any weak trough, boundary-layer mixing depth, and afternoon insolation—variables that produce noticeable spread even 48 hours out. With probabilities tightly bunched, fresh model runs and updated observations on July 22 will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,248終了日
2026/07/23マーケット開始日
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTraders see 30–32°C as the most likely range for Milan’s July 23 high because ensemble models show modest warm-air advection under a lingering subtropical ridge, tempered by partial Atlantic influence and variable cloud cover. Recent stabilization after the late-June heatwave has reduced extreme warming potential, while Po Valley trapping and Milan’s urban heat island add roughly 1–2 °C locally. Small differences among 30, 31, and 32 °C hinge on the exact timing of any weak trough, boundary-layer mixing depth, and afternoon insolation—variables that produce noticeable spread even 48 hours out. With probabilities tightly bunched, fresh model runs and updated observations on July 22 will likely refine the consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問