Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection, are pushing Milan’s forecast highs for June 27 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27 °C. Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit vertical mixing and nocturnal cooling. Subtle differences among runs—particularly regarding the strength of subsidence and any late-day convective development—account for the tight clustering around 35–37 °C in trader prices, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from minor forecast shifts or localized urban-heat-island variations before official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日のミラノの最高気温は?
35°C 43%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 12%
$29,631 Vol.
$29,631 Vol.
33°C or below
1%
34°C
19%
35°C
43%
36°C
29%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
36°C 29%
34°C 19%
37°C 12%
$29,631 Vol.
$29,631 Vol.
33°C or below
1%
34°C
19%
35°C
43%
36°C
29%
37°C
12%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ongoing European heatwave conditions, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection, are pushing Milan’s forecast highs for June 27 well above the June climatological average of roughly 26–27 °C. Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional agencies points to maximum temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit vertical mixing and nocturnal cooling. Subtle differences among runs—particularly regarding the strength of subsidence and any late-day convective development—account for the tight clustering around 35–37 °C in trader prices, while lower-probability outcomes reflect residual uncertainty from minor forecast shifts or localized urban-heat-island variations before official resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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