Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月10日のモスクワの最高気温は?
27°C 40%
28°C 35.6%
26°C 15%
29°C 11.4%
$27,131 Vol.
$27,131 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
36%
29°C
11%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃以上
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 35.6%
26°C 15%
29°C 11.4%
$27,131 Vol.
$27,131 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
40%
28°C
36%
29°C
11%
30℃
<1%
31°C
1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast ensembles from major models highlight variable Atlantic air mass advection and lingering cloud cover with scattered showers as the main drivers keeping July 10 Moscow highs clustered in the mid-20s Celsius, aligning with trader emphasis on the 25–27°C outcomes. Daytime solar heating will depend on breaks in overcast conditions and any convective development, while climatological baselines for early July average near 22–24°C. The tight spread across 24–28°C reflects genuine short-range uncertainty in peak timing and local boundary-layer mixing, with fresh model runs and observational updates from Russian meteorological services likely to sharpen resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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