Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月11日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 20%
86-87°F 11%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
11%
88°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a maximum temperature near 82°F in New York City on July 11, driving the market’s emphasis on the 82–83°F bin. Scattered clouds, a modest chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, and west-to-southwest winds around 7–10 mph are expected to limit full insolation and cap the peak, consistent with post-heatwave moderation after early July highs near 100°F. Historical July averages hover near 86°F, but recent observations and short-range model runs favor slightly cooler conditions. Final NWS updates and morning soundings on July 11 will refine the outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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