Finnish Meteorological Institute forecasts and ECMWF ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on July 12, with a heat-wave warning in place but limited upside potential under modest southerly flow and possible afternoon cloud cover. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered between 26–29°C because ensemble spread at 48–72-hour lead times allows for modest warming if skies clear or winds weaken, while marine influence from the Baltic caps extremes. Historical July climatology places average highs in the low-to-mid 20s, so outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any ridge axis and diurnal heating rates. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月12日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
27℃ 28%
28°C 25%
29°C 19%
26℃ 18%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
6%
26℃
18%
27℃
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C以上
7%
27℃ 28%
28°C 25%
29°C 19%
26℃ 18%
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25°C
6%
26℃
18%
27℃
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
19%
30°C以上
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Finnish Meteorological Institute forecasts and ECMWF ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 24°C at Helsinki-Vantaa on July 12, with a heat-wave warning in place but limited upside potential under modest southerly flow and possible afternoon cloud cover. Trader probabilities remain tightly clustered between 26–29°C because ensemble spread at 48–72-hour lead times allows for modest warming if skies clear or winds weaken, while marine influence from the Baltic caps extremes. Historical July climatology places average highs in the low-to-mid 20s, so outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any ridge axis and diurnal heating rates. Updated model runs and FMI briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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