Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月12日の上海の最低気温は？
7月12日の上海の最低気温は？
27℃ 35%
26°C 25%
28°C 17%
25°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/12
22°C以下
1%
23°C
1%
24℃
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
25%
27℃
35%
28°C
17%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
27℃ 35%
26°C 25%
28°C 17%
25°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/12
22°C以下
$237 Vol.
1%
23°C
$116 Vol.
1%
24℃
$41 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$3 Vol.
25%
27℃
$6 Vol.
35%
28°C
$39 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$58 Vol.
9%
31°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$765終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$765終了日
2026/07/12マーケット開始日
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Shanghai point to typical midsummer overnight lows near 26–27°C on July 12, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated moisture from the East Asian monsoon. High humidity limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while the urban heat island effect and light southerly flow keep minimum temperatures elevated compared with drier conditions. Short-term model runs show modest spread tied to variable cloud cover and any scattered showers, which could suppress the low by 1–2°C or allow slightly warmer readings if skies clear. Traders weigh these factors against historical July baselines around 25°C, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities across the 25–28°C range ahead of updated guidance from regional meteorological centers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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