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Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?

icon for Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?

Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?

21°C 33.0%

20°C 25%

19°C 14%

22°C 9.1%

Polymarket
新規

21°C 33.0%

20°C 25%

19°C 14%

22°C 9.1%

Polymarket
新規

17°C or below

$781 Vol.

2%

18°C

$383 Vol.

4%

19°C

$667 Vol.

14%

20°C

$779 Vol.

25%

21°C

$950 Vol.

33%

22°C

$412 Vol.

9%

23°C

$324 Vol.

2%

24°C

$494 Vol.

1%

25°C

$358 Vol.

1%

26°C

$413 Vol.

<1%

27°C or higher

$236 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,783
終了日
2026/07/05
マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by European and U.S. agencies point to a cooler-than-average airmass over Moscow for July 5, 2026, with expected highs clustered around 17–21°C amid light rain or increased cloud cover. This stems from transient high-pressure ridging and northerly flow suppressing peak solar heating and limiting warm advection from southern latitudes. July climatology favors ~23–24°C maxima, yet current steering patterns and surface conditions differentiate the tight 20–22°C market bins: modest variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any clearing could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these short-range uncertainties heavily given the two-day horizon and limited model spread.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,783
終了日
2026/07/05
マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「21°C」で33%、次いで「20°C」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、33¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に33%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?」の現在のフロントランナーは「21°C」で33%であり、市場がこの結果に33%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20°C」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Moscow on July 5?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。