Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on July 3?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 3?
26°C 26%
25°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
26%
26°C
20%
27°C
23%
28°C
11%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 26%
25°C 26%
27°C 23%
28°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
22°C or below
$171 Vol.
2%
23°C
$24 Vol.
1%
24°C
$24 Vol.
7%
25°C
$16 Vol.
26%
26°C
$16 Vol.
20%
27°C
$19 Vol.
23%
28°C
$12 Vol.
11%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$22 Vol.
2%
31°C
$21 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$353終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$353終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's July 3 maximum near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, explaining why 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C together command over 65% of market-implied probability. Subtle differences in high-pressure ridge strength and daytime insolation versus any late-day cloud increase or brief shower could shift the peak by 1–2°C, creating the tight clustering around these outcomes. July climatology (mean high ~23–25°C) provides a baseline, while the two-day lead time means morning model runs and local observations will be the next key updates traders monitor.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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