Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 3?
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 16%
30°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
24°C or below
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
16%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 24%
29°C 16%
30°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/07/03
24°C or below
$33 Vol.
1%
25°C
$9 Vol.
3%
26°C
$24 Vol.
5%
27°C
$60 Vol.
24%
28°C
$176 Vol.
49%
29°C
$42 Vol.
16%
30°C
$1 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C
$22 Vol.
1%
33°C
$99 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$47 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$518終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$518終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models show notable uncertainty for Istanbul's July 3 maximum, with some runs indicating possible cooling from northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or early thunderstorm activity that could cap highs near or below seasonal norms around 27–28°C. This supports the tight market clustering between the 24°C-or-below and 28°C outcomes, reflecting genuine divergence between cooler solutions and warmer, clearer scenarios. Historical July averages near 28°C provide context, yet short-term steering patterns and sea-breeze influences introduce variability that traders weigh heavily ahead of updated model cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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