Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 3?
33°C 27%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
22%
33°C
27%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
21%
33°C 27%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
22%
33°C
27%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Coastal Qingdao's July temperatures are shaped by Yellow Sea breezes that often cap daytime maxima near long-term averages of 27–29 °C, yet short-term model spreads and potential ridge strengthening create uncertainty between 32 °C and 35 °C outcomes. Sea-breeze advection, cloud-cover changes, and any nocturnal heat retention from high humidity differentiate the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C+ bins from lower probabilities at 32–33 °C. With only two days until resolution, fresh CMA and global ensemble runs will clarify whether a transient high-pressure setup can overcome typical maritime moderation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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