Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月27日のモスクワの最高気温は?
20°C 37%
21℃ 31%
19℃ 19%
22°C 9%
$18,145 Vol.
$18,145 Vol.
17℃以下
1%
18℃
6%
19℃
19%
20°C
37%
21℃
31%
22°C
9%
23℃
2%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
20°C 37%
21℃ 31%
19℃ 19%
22°C 9%
$18,145 Vol.
$18,145 Vol.
17℃以下
1%
18℃
6%
19℃
19%
20°C
37%
21℃
31%
22°C
9%
23℃
2%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Moscow's June 27 daytime maximum near 22°C, with light winds, patchy cloud cover, and a chance of sprinkles limiting peak heating. Recent model runs show modest spread around 20–23°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological norms for late June hover near 22°C. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–22°C brackets, with traders weighing short-range uncertainty in cloud fraction and precipitation timing against stable large-scale flow. Updated guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds ahead of the June 27 close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問