Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月20日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
6月20日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
82〜83°F 46%
80～81°F 24%
84〜85°F 24%
86～87°F 6%
新規
$14,773 Vol.
新規
$14,773 Vol.
2026/06/20
華氏75度以下
<1%
76〜77°F
1%
78～79°F
4%
80～81°F
24%
82〜83°F
46%
84〜85°F
24%
86～87°F
6%
88～89°F
1%
90～91°F
<1%
92～93°F
<1%
94°F以上
<1%
82〜83°F 46%
80～81°F 24%
84〜85°F 24%
86～87°F 6%
新規
$14,773 Vol.
新規
$14,773 Vol.
2026/06/20
華氏75度以下
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
76〜77°F
$1,957 Vol.
1%
78～79°F
$1,333 Vol.
4%
80～81°F
$1,960 Vol.
24%
82〜83°F
$2,188 Vol.
46%
84〜85°F
$2,317 Vol.
24%
86～87°F
$1,697 Vol.
6%
88～89°F
$462 Vol.
1%
90～91°F
$633 Vol.
<1%
92～93°F
$425 Vol.
<1%
94°F以上
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
音量
$14,773終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$14,773終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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