Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo France indicate a heat wave peaking early August, with Paris highs on August 3 most likely reaching 34–36 °C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 35 °C, though slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any instability could shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders have priced 35 °C highest at 45.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 36 °C and 34 °C, consistent with model consensus and historical August extremes during similar synoptic setups. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日のパリの最高気温は？
8月3日のパリの最高気温は？
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
32°C or below
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
22%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 22%
37°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/03
32°C or below
$152 Vol.
2%
33°C
$13 Vol.
4%
34°C
$307 Vol.
22%
35°C
$224 Vol.
45%
36°C
$15 Vol.
27%
37°C
$168 Vol.
6%
38°C
$381 Vol.
2%
39°C
$65 Vol.
1%
40°C
$58 Vol.
1%
41°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$499 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo France indicate a heat wave peaking early August, with Paris highs on August 3 most likely reaching 34–36 °C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 35 °C, though slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any instability could shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders have priced 35 °C highest at 45.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 36 °C and 34 °C, consistent with model consensus and historical August extremes during similar synoptic setups. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$1,967終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models and Meteo France indicate a heat wave peaking early August, with Paris highs on August 3 most likely reaching 34–36 °C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 35 °C, though slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any instability could shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders have priced 35 °C highest at 45.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 36 °C and 34 °C, consistent with model consensus and historical August extremes during similar synoptic setups. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,967終了日
2026/08/03マーケット開始日
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models and Meteo France indicate a heat wave peaking early August, with Paris highs on August 3 most likely reaching 34–36 °C under high-pressure subsidence and clear skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering near 35 °C, though slight variations in cloud cover or timing of any instability could shift the daily maximum by a degree. Traders have priced 35 °C highest at 45.5 % implied probability, followed closely by 36 °C and 34 °C, consistent with model consensus and historical August extremes during similar synoptic setups. Final official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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