Current forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a high of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 22, driven by sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and a transient warm anomaly during Southern Hemisphere winter. Typical July highs average near 22°C, but model consensus points to elevated readings from reduced cloud cover and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer advection. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability, with 29°C close behind, as traders weigh official guidance against minor model spread and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月22日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
26%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 41%
29°C 26%
27°C 21%
26°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
26%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 20, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources including BBC Weather and AccuWeather indicate a high of 28–29°C in São Paulo on July 22, driven by sunny conditions, light northerly winds, and a transient warm anomaly during Southern Hemisphere winter. Typical July highs average near 22°C, but model consensus points to elevated readings from reduced cloud cover and atmospheric patterns favoring warmer advection. This positions 28°C as the market leader at 45% implied probability, with 29°C close behind, as traders weigh official guidance against minor model spread and the narrow resolution window for the daily maximum. Updated runs closer to the date will likely refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問