Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月21日の上海の最高気温は?
26°C 34%
27°C 26%
25°C 24%
28°C 10%
$21,992 Vol.
$21,992 Vol.
23℃以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 26%
25°C 24%
28°C 10%
$21,992 Vol.
$21,992 Vol.
23℃以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
26%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from global and regional models show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and a passing weather system over eastern China that is limiting daytime heating in Shanghai on June 21. These conditions align with the East Asian monsoon and plum rain patterns typical for mid-June, which historically cap highs near or below the 27–28°C seasonal average when precipitation is widespread. Ensemble guidance currently clusters around 26–28°C maxima, with limited upside potential unless skies clear earlier than expected, while downside risk stems from heavier rain or stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty tied to the timing and intensity of the next model runs before the June 21 observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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