Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a peak temperature range of 32–36°C for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Afternoon thunderstorms or showers, already influencing current patterns, could cap extremes by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while the absence of strong typhoon steering keeps the environment stable. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but recent model runs showing slightly elevated heat align with market-implied odds favoring 35°C (44.5%) and 36°C (31.5%) as the most probable outcomes under skin-in-the-game trader consensus. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の台北の最高気温は?
35°C 47%
36°C 33%
34°C 13%
37°C 4%
$17,798 Vol.
$17,798 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
33%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 33%
34°C 13%
37°C 4%
$17,798 Vol.
$17,798 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
33%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate a peak temperature range of 32–36°C for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and urban heat retention. Afternoon thunderstorms or showers, already influencing current patterns, could cap extremes by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while the absence of strong typhoon steering keeps the environment stable. Historical August averages near 32–34°C provide context, but recent model runs showing slightly elevated heat align with market-implied odds favoring 35°C (44.5%) and 36°C (31.5%) as the most probable outcomes under skin-in-the-game trader consensus. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day will determine resolution against these thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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