Latest short-range model guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows high uncertainty in tomorrow's afternoon peak under typical equatorial conditions, driving the near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Persistent moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered convective showers can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent station observations exceeding 34°C on August 15 highlight the potential for brief clear spells to push maxima higher, while increased rainfall timing could cap them lower. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August baselines around 31–32°C as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 47%
31°C 43%
30°C 7%
33°C 6%
$16,453 Vol.
$16,453 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
43%
32°C
47%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 43%
30°C 7%
33°C 6%
$16,453 Vol.
$16,453 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
43%
32°C
47%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest short-range model guidance from Singapore's Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows high uncertainty in tomorrow's afternoon peak under typical equatorial conditions, driving the near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Persistent moisture, variable cloud cover, and scattered convective showers can suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C through changes in solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Recent station observations exceeding 34°C on August 15 highlight the potential for brief clear spells to push maxima higher, while increased rainfall timing could cap them lower. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August baselines around 31–32°C as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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