Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Trip.com indicate a daytime high near 34–35 °C for Guangzhou on August 16 under subtropical summer conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit solar heating and keep readings from exceeding seasonal norms. High humidity, light winds, and cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon pattern further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with historical August averages around 33 °C. Recent model runs show limited upward revisions, supporting trader emphasis on 35–36 °C outcomes as the most probable range while assigning low odds to extremes above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on convective activity and any overnight model shifts will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日の広州の最高気温は?
36℃ 46%
35°C 33%
37℃ 12%
34℃ 9%
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
2%
34℃
9%
35°C
33%
36℃
46%
37℃
12%
38℃
1%
39℃以上
<1%
36℃ 46%
35°C 33%
37℃ 12%
34℃ 9%
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
2%
34℃
9%
35°C
33%
36℃
46%
37℃
12%
38℃
1%
39℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including AccuWeather, timeanddate, and Trip.com indicate a daytime high near 34–35 °C for Guangzhou on August 16 under subtropical summer conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and showers expected to limit solar heating and keep readings from exceeding seasonal norms. High humidity, light winds, and cloud cover typical of the East Asian monsoon pattern further moderate peak temperatures, consistent with historical August averages around 33 °C. Recent model runs show limited upward revisions, supporting trader emphasis on 35–36 °C outcomes as the most probable range while assigning low odds to extremes above 37 °C or below 34 °C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies on convective activity and any overnight model shifts will refine resolution probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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