Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15, 2026, show a high near 29°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, directly anchoring the market's leading 29°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key variables include shower timing and coverage, which could suppress the maximum below 29°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30–31°C, while steering patterns and humidity levels add further variability to the near-term model consensus. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の東京の最高気温は？
8月15日の東京の最高気温は？
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
34%
30°C
28%
31°C
16%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
30°C 25%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
24°C or below
$84 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$18 Vol.
1%
26°C
$14 Vol.
1%
27°C
$8 Vol.
6%
28°C
$8 Vol.
13%
29°C
$0 Vol.
34%
30°C
$73 Vol.
28%
31°C
$19 Vol.
16%
32°C
$10 Vol.
4%
33°C
$22 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15, 2026, show a high near 29°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, directly anchoring the market's leading 29°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key variables include shower timing and coverage, which could suppress the maximum below 29°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30–31°C, while steering patterns and humidity levels add further variability to the near-term model consensus. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$268終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15, 2026, show a high near 29°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, directly anchoring the market's leading 29°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key variables include shower timing and coverage, which could suppress the maximum below 29°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30–31°C, while steering patterns and humidity levels add further variability to the near-term model consensus. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$268終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 15, 2026, show a high near 29°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, directly anchoring the market's leading 29°C outcome at 33.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and reduced insolation from cloud cover limit daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strengthened Pacific High. Key variables include shower timing and coverage, which could suppress the maximum below 29°C or allow brief clearing to push toward 30–31°C, while steering patterns and humidity levels add further variability to the near-term model consensus. Updated JMA guidance and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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