Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a high near 35°C for Guangzhou on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity likely capping daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 34–36°C range, as models show limited deviation from seasonal averages around 33°C while accounting for short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx. Recent observations confirm stable high pressure with embedded convection, reducing odds of extremes above 37°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の広州の最高気温は?
35℃ 39%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 21%
33℃ 14%
$18,509 Vol.
$18,509 Vol.
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
2%
32℃
4%
33℃
14%
34℃
21%
35℃
39%
36℃
24%
37℃
4%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
35℃ 39%
36℃ 24%
34℃ 21%
33℃ 14%
$18,509 Vol.
$18,509 Vol.
29℃以下
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
2%
32℃
4%
33℃
14%
34℃
21%
35℃
39%
36℃
24%
37℃
4%
38°C
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological sources indicate a high near 35°C for Guangzhou on August 15 amid typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with thunderstorms and high humidity likely capping daytime peaks through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 34–36°C range, as models show limited deviation from seasonal averages around 33°C while accounting for short-term variability in steering patterns and moisture influx. Recent observations confirm stable high pressure with embedded convection, reducing odds of extremes above 37°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official agency briefings expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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