Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime maxima ahead of the August 16 resolution. Official PAGASA guidance shows forecast highs clustered between 29°C and 33°C, with recent runs favoring the lower end amid ongoing habagat moisture. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C that are routinely tempered by monsoon rainfall, pushing the market-implied mode toward 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual heat under partial clearing and further cooling from expected precipitation, with model consensus and short-range updates likely to refine probabilities before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のマニラの最高気温は？
8月16日のマニラの最高気温は？
30°C 45%
31℃ 28%
29℃ 21%
28°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
24°C以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29℃
21%
30°C
45%
31℃
28%
32°C
5%
33℃
2%
34°C以上
1%
30°C 45%
31℃ 28%
29℃ 21%
28°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
24°C以下
$222 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
1%
27°C
$152 Vol.
1%
28°C
$488 Vol.
7%
29℃
$1,027 Vol.
21%
30°C
$202 Vol.
45%
31℃
$21 Vol.
28%
32°C
$38 Vol.
5%
33℃
$72 Vol.
2%
34°C以上
$44 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime maxima ahead of the August 16 resolution. Official PAGASA guidance shows forecast highs clustered between 29°C and 33°C, with recent runs favoring the lower end amid ongoing habagat moisture. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C that are routinely tempered by monsoon rainfall, pushing the market-implied mode toward 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual heat under partial clearing and further cooling from expected precipitation, with model consensus and short-range updates likely to refine probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$2,436終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime maxima ahead of the August 16 resolution. Official PAGASA guidance shows forecast highs clustered between 29°C and 33°C, with recent runs favoring the lower end amid ongoing habagat moisture. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C that are routinely tempered by monsoon rainfall, pushing the market-implied mode toward 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual heat under partial clearing and further cooling from expected precipitation, with model consensus and short-range updates likely to refine probabilities before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,436終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon continues to drive cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila, moderating daytime maxima ahead of the August 16 resolution. Official PAGASA guidance shows forecast highs clustered between 29°C and 33°C, with recent runs favoring the lower end amid ongoing habagat moisture. This aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C that are routinely tempered by monsoon rainfall, pushing the market-implied mode toward 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between residual heat under partial clearing and further cooling from expected precipitation, with model consensus and short-range updates likely to refine probabilities before the observation window closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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