Recent European model consensus, including Met Office guidance, points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 16 amid a post-heat-wave transition featuring increased cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. This follows elevated readings above 30°C earlier in the month and aligns with the long-term August climatology of 21–22°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (39.5%) over 23°C or 24°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest and urban heat-island amplification appears limited under these conditions. Official KNMI station observations will determine resolution, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation the key variables that could shift the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
22°C 44%
23°C 32%
24℃ 20%
21℃ 9%
$13,373 Vol.
$13,373 Vol.
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
9%
22°C
44%
23°C
32%
24℃
20%
25°C
2%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
22°C 44%
23°C 32%
24℃ 20%
21℃ 9%
$13,373 Vol.
$13,373 Vol.
19°C以下
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
9%
22°C
44%
23°C
32%
24℃
20%
25°C
2%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European model consensus, including Met Office guidance, points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 16 amid a post-heat-wave transition featuring increased cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. This follows elevated readings above 30°C earlier in the month and aligns with the long-term August climatology of 21–22°C highs. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 22°C (39.5%) over 23°C or 24°C outcomes because ensemble spreads remain modest and urban heat-island amplification appears limited under these conditions. Official KNMI station observations will determine resolution, with any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or insolation the key variables that could shift the exact peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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