Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日の香港の最高気温は?
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
$24,866 Vol.
$24,866 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
36%
31°C
39%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
30°C 36%
32°C 17%
29°C 7%
$24,866 Vol.
$24,866 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
36%
31°C
39%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 14 point to a maximum of 27–32°C amid showers and high humidity (75–95% rain probability), anchoring trader consensus near 30–31°C. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation are expected to suppress solar heating and limit afternoon peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the month, while typical summer humidity and urban heat effects keep overnight lows elevated. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal temperatures provides context, yet short-term model runs emphasize the moderating influence of rain. Updated HKO briefings and refined numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities within the narrow 30–32°C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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