Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and European models converged on a peak of 34°C for central London on August 13 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow advecting warm air from the continent. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble runs showing limited diurnal variability and no significant convective cooling, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 34°C. Historical August baselines and current soil-moisture deficits further supported expectations of reaching but not substantially exceeding that threshold before resolution criteria are met. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or last-minute model adjustments that could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のロンドンの最高気温は?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$217,108 Vol.
$217,108 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$217,108 Vol.
$217,108 Vol.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and European models converged on a peak of 34°C for central London on August 13 under persistent high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow advecting warm air from the continent. This consensus, reinforced by ensemble runs showing limited diurnal variability and no significant convective cooling, underpins the market’s near-certain positioning at 34°C. Historical August baselines and current soil-moisture deficits further supported expectations of reaching but not substantially exceeding that threshold before resolution criteria are met. Uncertainties remain around localized urban heat-island effects or last-minute model adjustments that could shift the recorded maximum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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