Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のパリの最低気温は？
8月16日のパリの最低気温は？
19℃ 47%
18℃以下 36%
20°C 11%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
18℃以下
36%
19℃
47%
20°C
11%
21℃
10%
22℃
6%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C以上
<1%
19℃ 47%
18℃以下 36%
20°C 11%
21℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
18℃以下
$983 Vol.
36%
19℃
$390 Vol.
47%
20°C
$33 Vol.
11%
21℃
$512 Vol.
10%
22℃
$36 Vol.
6%
23°C
$53 Vol.
1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C以上
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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