Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のジェッダの最高気温は?
41℃以上 56%
40℃ 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 10%
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
10%
39°C
11%
40℃
22%
41℃以上
56%
41℃以上 56%
40℃ 22%
39°C 11%
38°C 10%
31℃以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36℃
<1%
37°C
3%
38°C
10%
39°C
11%
40℃
22%
41℃以上
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office and local Saudi meteorological guidance indicate a daily maximum near 39–41°C for Jeddah on August 16, underpinning the 55.5% market-implied probability for 41°C or higher and 77% combined chance of at least 40°C. Persistent subtropical high pressure, typical of peak Red Sea summer climatology, maintains clear skies and weak steering winds that limit cooling, while historical August averages of 37–39°C and recent above-normal temperature anomalies reported by Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology further support elevated readings. Short-range model runs show limited spread, though any late increase in marine-layer moisture or unexpected cloud cover could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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