Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and regional ensembles positions Istanbul’s August 16 daily maximum near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limit surface heating relative to typical mid-August climatology (average highs ~27–28 °C), with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection indicated. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26 °C and 27 °C because current runs show tight convergence in that narrow band; upside scenarios such as unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or wind shifts could favor 25 °C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月16日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
26°C 48%
27°C 37%
25°C 12%
28°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
48%
27°C
37%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 37%
25°C 12%
28°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/16
22°C or below
$605 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$587 Vol.
1%
24°C
$296 Vol.
3%
25°C
$605 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,742 Vol.
48%
27°C
$2,808 Vol.
37%
28°C
$394 Vol.
3%
29°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$503 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and regional ensembles positions Istanbul’s August 16 daily maximum near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limit surface heating relative to typical mid-August climatology (average highs ~27–28 °C), with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection indicated. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26 °C and 27 °C because current runs show tight convergence in that narrow band; upside scenarios such as unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or wind shifts could favor 25 °C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$8,454終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and regional ensembles positions Istanbul’s August 16 daily maximum near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limit surface heating relative to typical mid-August climatology (average highs ~27–28 °C), with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection indicated. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26 °C and 27 °C because current runs show tight convergence in that narrow band; upside scenarios such as unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or wind shifts could favor 25 °C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,454終了日
2026/08/16マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and regional ensembles positions Istanbul’s August 16 daily maximum near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions limit surface heating relative to typical mid-August climatology (average highs ~27–28 °C), with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm-air advection indicated. Market-implied probabilities cluster on 26 °C and 27 °C because current runs show tight convergence in that narrow band; upside scenarios such as unexpected clearing would be needed to push readings to 28 °C or higher, while increased cloud cover or wind shifts could favor 25 °C. Overnight model updates and morning observations will provide the final resolution data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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