Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月16日のカラチの最高気温は?
32°C 51%
33°C 30%
31℃ 16%
30°C 3%
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31℃
16%
32°C
51%
33°C
30%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C以上
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 30%
31℃ 16%
30°C 3%
$10,122 Vol.
$10,122 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31℃
16%
32°C
51%
33°C
30%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts and long-term climatological data position 32°C as the leading outcome for Karachi's highest temperature on August 16, aligning with the market's 50.5% implied probability. The city experiences typical August highs near 31–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with high humidity moderating extremes and official monitoring from the Pakistan Meteorological Department showing recent daily maxima around 29–30°C. Model consensus points to stable conditions without significant heat advection or clear skies that could push readings to 33°C or higher, though localized variability in coastal effects introduces modest uncertainty. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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