Recent forecast updates indicate a cooldown arriving in Paris on August 15 after midweek highs near 38–41°C, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk moderating overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models from European centers point to minimum temperatures of 18–22°C as the most likely range, driven by reduced daytime heating, higher humidity, and potential precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical overnight minima near 15–18°C, yet the lingering warm air mass keeps values from dropping further. Traders have priced 22°C or below at 72.5% implied probability because near-term model consensus favors this threshold, with new runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours poised to refine the exact minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のパリの最低気温は？
8月15日のパリの最低気温は？
22°C以下 73%
23°C 13%
24°C 4.8%
25°C 1.4%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
22°C以下
73%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
22°C以下 73%
23°C 13%
24°C 4.8%
25°C 1.4%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
22°C以下
$1,591 Vol.
73%
23°C
$858 Vol.
13%
24°C
$310 Vol.
5%
25°C
$185 Vol.
1%
26℃
$83 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$127 Vol.
1%
28℃
$167 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
32℃以上
$377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates indicate a cooldown arriving in Paris on August 15 after midweek highs near 38–41°C, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk moderating overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models from European centers point to minimum temperatures of 18–22°C as the most likely range, driven by reduced daytime heating, higher humidity, and potential precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical overnight minima near 15–18°C, yet the lingering warm air mass keeps values from dropping further. Traders have priced 22°C or below at 72.5% implied probability because near-term model consensus favors this threshold, with new runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours poised to refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
音量
$4,377終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates indicate a cooldown arriving in Paris on August 15 after midweek highs near 38–41°C, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk moderating overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models from European centers point to minimum temperatures of 18–22°C as the most likely range, driven by reduced daytime heating, higher humidity, and potential precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical overnight minima near 15–18°C, yet the lingering warm air mass keeps values from dropping further. Traders have priced 22°C or below at 72.5% implied probability because near-term model consensus favors this threshold, with new runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours poised to refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,377終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETRecent forecast updates indicate a cooldown arriving in Paris on August 15 after midweek highs near 38–41°C, with increased cloud cover and afternoon thunderstorm risk moderating overnight lows. Official guidance and ensemble models from European centers point to minimum temperatures of 18–22°C as the most likely range, driven by reduced daytime heating, higher humidity, and potential precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Historical August baselines show typical overnight minima near 15–18°C, yet the lingering warm air mass keeps values from dropping further. Traders have priced 22°C or below at 72.5% implied probability because near-term model consensus favors this threshold, with new runs and observational data releases over the next 48 hours poised to refine the exact minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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