Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal clearing over the southwestern Cape, with partly cloudy skies transitioning to finer conditions on 15 August, supporting daily maxima clustered near 18–20 °C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects uncertainty in the strength of daytime insolation once low stratus lifts, modulated by onshore flow from the cold Benguela Current and potential weak ridging that could enhance adiabatic warming. Small differences among 18–21 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether light northerly winds briefly override the marine influence before the afternoon peak—variables that remain sensitive to the latest forecast updates from SAWS and global ensembles. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 17 °C) underscores why probabilities remain tightly distributed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月15日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
20℃ 29%
19℃ 25%
18℃ 18%
21°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
14℃以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18℃
18%
19℃
25%
20℃
29%
21°C
17%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24℃以上
<1%
20℃ 29%
19℃ 25%
18℃ 18%
21°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/15
14℃以下
$31 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$107 Vol.
1%
16°C
$80 Vol.
1%
17°C
$192 Vol.
8%
18℃
$261 Vol.
18%
19℃
$466 Vol.
25%
20℃
$91 Vol.
29%
21°C
$272 Vol.
17%
22°C
$532 Vol.
6%
23°C
$67 Vol.
2%
24℃以上
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal clearing over the southwestern Cape, with partly cloudy skies transitioning to finer conditions on 15 August, supporting daily maxima clustered near 18–20 °C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects uncertainty in the strength of daytime insolation once low stratus lifts, modulated by onshore flow from the cold Benguela Current and potential weak ridging that could enhance adiabatic warming. Small differences among 18–21 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether light northerly winds briefly override the marine influence before the afternoon peak—variables that remain sensitive to the latest forecast updates from SAWS and global ensembles. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 17 °C) underscores why probabilities remain tightly distributed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$2,117終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal clearing over the southwestern Cape, with partly cloudy skies transitioning to finer conditions on 15 August, supporting daily maxima clustered near 18–20 °C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects uncertainty in the strength of daytime insolation once low stratus lifts, modulated by onshore flow from the cold Benguela Current and potential weak ridging that could enhance adiabatic warming. Small differences among 18–21 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether light northerly winds briefly override the marine influence before the afternoon peak—variables that remain sensitive to the latest forecast updates from SAWS and global ensembles. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 17 °C) underscores why probabilities remain tightly distributed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,117終了日
2026/08/15マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to post-frontal clearing over the southwestern Cape, with partly cloudy skies transitioning to finer conditions on 15 August, supporting daily maxima clustered near 18–20 °C. Trader positioning around these levels reflects uncertainty in the strength of daytime insolation once low stratus lifts, modulated by onshore flow from the cold Benguela Current and potential weak ridging that could enhance adiabatic warming. Small differences among 18–21 °C outcomes hinge on exact cloud-break timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether light northerly winds briefly override the marine influence before the afternoon peak—variables that remain sensitive to the latest forecast updates from SAWS and global ensembles. Historical August climatology (typical highs near 17 °C) underscores why probabilities remain tightly distributed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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