Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
42%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 31%
34°C 20%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
31%
33°C
42%
34°C
20%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature range of 28–33°C for August 13 under southwest winds of force 3–4, with sunny periods and isolated showers expected. This aligns with the market’s clustering around 32–33°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting subsidence effects from recent Tropical Cyclone Dolphin activity that drove prior extreme readings near 37°C but are now moderating under more typical late-summer flow. Seasonal guidance notes normal to above-normal temperatures overall, while short-range model consensus and climatological averages near 32°C support the tight probability distribution; any deviation would likely stem from shifts in cloud cover or localized heating ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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